Newspoll boss says gap will close - National - theage.com.au
The most important thing about the latest Newspoll is the Coalition primary vote is back over the magic 40% line, barely. As I have noted before, it may be a 10% gap, but it only takes a 5% swing to put the parties on even pegging again.
Mark Bahnisch has been so overcome with excitement at the prospect of a Labor win that he can't seem to see the downside of anything Kevin does. His commentary is so positive for Labor now that one suspects he hopes for a job out of a new Rudd government.
In this post, he thought Kevin conducting a premature campaign launch last weekend was evidence of Labor "taking control" of the timing of the election. He even seems to think that Rudd routinely ignoring the government benches during Question Time is a good look.
I think most people would see the clear danger in both of these that they can come across as hubris and arrogance.
I also suppose you could not expect Rudd to not try out his Mandarin at APEC, but even then I wonder whether to some in the electorate he looked a little too smugly proud while doing it.
Just to show my even handedness, I will say that Peter Costello on Radio National breakfast came across as all platitudes and little substance today. His talk of having a vision of "inclusiveness" for the marginalised without explaining specific policies to achieve it comes across as just as much blather as what Rudd says at the moment. I am really not sure how he would come across as PM.
3 comments:
These polls should all be labelled with their confidence margins and a statistical analysis of the chance that any change is meaningful.
The last one seemed too good to be true for Labor by a long shot but there may have been no actual change if the results were just at the extremes of the confidence interval.
I agree that parading any sort of intellect or skill is asking for trouble in Australia, but those who would think he was a complete nerd for that don't follow politics anyway.
John Howard is playing things right as far as I see politically. The Libs are no chance without him and although I'm sure it would have been better for his own good to have retired a year ago, he is his parties' best chance. By hanging in and hoping for Labor to self destruct he gives himself a chance of re-election.
Geoff
Mark's a smart guy who is in love with Labor, perhaps as a result of childhood indoctrination. The tone of his posts often reflect this - for instance, he headlined the story about Beattie handing over to Bligh 'Smooth transition of power', or something like that, which sounded awfully like it could have been a Labor press release.
I find him particularly irritating when he starts doing things like calling Costello "$weetie". For one who claims to disdain right wing name calling, he'll happily engage in it himself when he is in the mood.
I don't think I ever do that, do I?
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